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Posted Wed Sep 10 2008: from NASA, via EurekAlert:
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NASA study illustrates how global peak oil could impact climate http://apocadocs.com/s.pl?1221076985
The burning of fossil fuels -- notably coal, oil and gas -- has accounted for about 80 percent of the rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide since the pre-industrial era. Now, NASA researchers have identified feasible emission scenarios that could keep carbon dioxide below levels that some scientists have called dangerous for climate.... To better understand the possible trajectory of future carbon dioxide, Kharecha and Hansen devised five carbon dioxide emissions scenarios that span the years 1850-2100. Each scenario reflects a different estimate for the global production peak of fossil fuels, the timing of which depends on reserve size, recoverability and technology.
"Even if we assume high-end estimates and unconstrained emissions from conventional oil and gas, we find that these fuels alone are not abundant enough to take carbon dioxide above 450 parts per million," Kharecha said.
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Very Scary Tags: anthropogenic change, peak oil
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As we've been asking, "which will win?": resource depletion, climate collapse, species collapse, economic collapse.... It's exciting to watch!
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