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Posted Thu Jun 19 2014: from Grist:
Everything you need to know about El Niņo -- and more
While European scientists now say there is a 90 percent chance of an El Niņo forming this year (if it hasn't indeed formed already), what, exactly, an El Niņo will do depends a lot on its particular strength.... But whether the boy is coming this year or not, we haven't seen the last of him. Scientists believe that the so-called "global warming pause" we've seen in the past 16 years is the result of the Pacific Ocean spewing out so much of its heat during the El Niņo of 1997-'98. Since then, it has had more of an appetite to suck atmospheric heat back in -- and because the trade winds haven't slackened much since then, the Pacific has held on to all that warmth. So, when a big El Niņo does form again, us landlubbers are going to heat up ... really fast. On the positive side, that could help convince more people that this whole climate change thing is real. And a little rain would be welcome in drought-stricken California. But there will be many, many downsides -- and not just especially bad traffic jams.
[Read more stories about: weather extremes, global warming, ocean warming]

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'Doc Jim says:
I'll see your El Nino, and raise you a derecho and a deluge.

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